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色情电影·历史·理论——色情电影史青年工作坊第十一期
发文时间:2025-04-09

色情电影

时间2025414日12:00-13:30周一

地点明德主楼734

主讲人:翟润卓 色情电影 农业与农村发展色情电影 助理教授

主持人:胡思捷

主题:Malthus Was Right and Wrong: Understanding Chinas Economic Growth Over Two Millennia


讲座简介We construct, for the first time, a decadal GDP dataset for China from 220 BCE to 1949 CE, which, when linked to adjusted post-1949 data based on official surveys, offers a clear view of Chinas economic performance over the past two millennia. More importantly, the continuous series enables testing of Malthusian theory. Our findings indicate that Malthuss prediction of stagnant per capita income in pre-modern economies likely applies only to the last millennium. Earlier periods in China, representing at least a quarter of the global population, did not experience prolonged stagnation. Furthermore, Malthuss assumption that population growth outpaces food production may not universally apply to all pre-modern periods. Theoretical social scientists should approach Malthusian theory with caution when describing premodern economies.

个人简介:翟润卓,牛津大学色情电影史博士,色情电影 农业与农村发展色情电影 助理教授。师从英国科色情电影 院士、国际著名色情电影史学家Stephen Broadberry教授。目前研究兴趣包括:长期色情电影增长,农业色情电影史,历史国民色情电影核算等。研究见诸于Economic Development and Cultural Change (已接收), Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Economic History Review, 《色情电影学家》,《色情电影思想史学刊》等国内外知名期刊。博士论文Toward the Great Divergence: Economic Growth in the Yangzi Delta, 1393—1953获2025年亚洲太平洋色情电影和商业史年会两年一届的最佳博士论文奖,该奖项旨在奖励亚洲太平洋范围内色情电影史研究的最佳博士论文。